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intermediate FIRE

Lean FIRE vs Fat FIRE Target

Calculate and compare minimal versus comfortable financial independence numbers side by side in a Google Sheets formula.

Formula
=annual_expenses / withdrawal_rate

How It Works

Lean FIRE covers only essential expenses - housing, food, insurance, basic utilities. Fat FIRE includes a comfortable lifestyle with travel, dining, hobbies, and a buffer. Both use the same core formula but with different annual expense inputs. Comparing the two shows the range of portfolio sizes that could support financial independence.

Syntax

=annual_expenses / safe_withdrawal_rate

Using the commonly referenced 4% withdrawal rate:

=annual_expenses * 25

Multiplying by 25 is equivalent to dividing by 0.04.

Example

Expense CategoryLean FIREFat FIRE
Housing$12,000$24,000
Food$4,800$9,600
Insurance$6,000$6,000
Utilities$2,400$3,600
Transport$3,000$7,200
Healthcare$4,800$4,800
Discretionary$0$12,000
Travel$0$8,000
Buffer$0$4,800
Annual Total$33,000$80,000
FIRE Number (4%)$825,000$2,000,000

Lean FIRE Formula: =33000/0.04 = $825,000

Fat FIRE Formula: =80000/0.04 = $2,000,000

The gap between the two - $1,175,000 - represents the cost of comfort and flexibility.

Setting Up a Comparison Calculator

ABC
CategoryLean (Monthly)Fat (Monthly)
Housing10002000
Food400800
Insurance500500
Utilities200300
Transport250600
Healthcare400400
Discretionary01000
Travel0667
Monthly Total=SUM(B2:B9)=SUM(C2:C9)
Annual Total=B10*12=C10*12
FIRE Number (4%)=B11/0.04=C11/0.04
FIRE Number (3.5%)=B11/0.035=C11/0.035

Variations

With Different Withdrawal Rates

A more conservative 3.5% rate increases the target:

=annual_expenses / 0.035
Withdrawal RateLean FIREFat FIRE
4.0%$825,000$2,000,000
3.5%$943,000$2,286,000
3.0%$1,100,000$2,667,000

”Regular FIRE” Middle Ground

Some people target a middle tier:

=lean_annual + (fat_annual - lean_annual) * 0.5

This gives a target halfway between lean and fat.

Years to Each Target

Combine with PMT to see how long each takes:

=NPER(return_rate/12, -monthly_savings, -current_portfolio, fire_number)

Coast FIRE Angle

Calculate the portfolio needed today so that growth alone reaches each target by a given age:

=fire_number / (1 + annual_return)^years_remaining

Pro Tips

  1. Lean FIRE is a floor, not a ceiling - it’s worth knowing the minimum needed, even if Fat FIRE is the goal

  2. Include healthcare - this is often the largest wild card, especially before Medicare eligibility

  3. Geographic flexibility - lean FIRE in a low-cost area might feel like fat FIRE in lifestyle terms

  4. Inflation adjustment - both targets will rise over time, so consider using real (inflation-adjusted) returns

  5. Review annually - actual spending patterns change, so updating both numbers each year keeps them realistic

Common Errors

  • Forgetting taxes: Withdrawals from pre-tax accounts (401k, traditional IRA) are taxable income - factor this into expenses
  • Using current rent for a 30-year projection: Housing costs change - consider whether the mortgage will be paid off
  • Ignoring healthcare: This can be $500-1,500+/month before Medicare age
  • Setting lean FIRE too lean: Cutting it too close leaves no room for unexpected expenses

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